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Reliable Local Weather Reports

 
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Don Schwirtlich
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 8:49 am    Post subject: Reliable Local Weather Reports Reply with quote

What do you guys use for reliable local weather reports? I am trying to schedule outdoor activities and Dead Wrong Dale and his colleagues have me very frustrated with their forecasting. I don't buy the "weather is affected by a butterfly flapping their wings in Japan" either.

I may buy one of those home weather stations things if nothing else works. Right now, looking out my back window gives me a better forecast than listening to the sources I watch (local channels and The Weather History Channel).

So what do you guys use? Question
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am3
Horse Mullet


Joined: 20 Sep 2004
Posts: 249
Location: Tynan, Texas

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 9:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

as far as the weather goes no channel in corpus is worth 2 cents. they are always wrong. i always look at the surf cams on corpusbeach.com thats about the best way to tell the weather. if not noaa.gov has some good reliable forecasts or weather.com.
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tyler
Site Admin


Joined: 09 Aug 2004
Posts: 954
Location: Corpus Christi

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 9:50 am    Post subject: Weather Underground Reply with quote

I think all of them are just the National Weather Service. Most of the TV guys use the national weather service then tweak that based on their experience etc as to where most of the rain will occur.

Here is the corpus forecast link:

http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=78414


Here is the one I use for the surf:
http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/GM/250.html
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RttlTrap
Shark Wrangler


Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 8

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 2:11 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here's a cool link for the surf forecast. Seems to jive with the surfcams (usually).

http://www.wetsand.com/swellwatch/swellwatch.asp?CatId=299
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pinsjeepster
Finger Mullet


Joined: 13 Nov 2004
Posts: 52
Location: The Great Northwest(Calallen)

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 2:14 pm    Post subject: check local bouys and intellicast. Reply with quote

I check http://www.intellicast.com/Local/USLocalWide.asp?loc=kcrp&seg=LocalWeather&prodgrp=RadarImagery&product=Radar&prodnav=none and the bouy data for the wind http://www.srh.noaa.gov/crp/marine/default.html You can compare the
two forecasts. Like Tyler said NOAA is the main source the local channels.
-good luck & good fishing-
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 4:00 pm    Post subject: Check the buoy east of Baffin Reply with quote

"Reliable weather forecast" is an oxymoron. Aside from the surf cams, the best real-time indicator seems to be the NWS's web info from that buoy east of Baffin Bay, since the prevailing southeast winds create waves that are measured last at that location before they hit the beach at Big Shell. I like to see a report of 2-foot waves or less out there.

That "butterfly effect" excuse is an allusion to the impossiblity of computing beyond a limited space and time in a chaotic system, which the weather definitely is. In this case, the weather is highly dependent upon initial conditions, even ones as small as the pressure exerted by a butterfly's flapping wing. For anything like even short-term accuracy in such a system, you'd need a huge number of data measuring points, both at the ground and at various levels above it, and, even if you had the computing power to extrapolate from all of it, the farther ahead or away one forecasted from current data, the less reliable that forecast would become. At some point, a local forecast from the TV is no more reliable than an almanac. In fact, the almanac, based on averages, sometimes is a better predicter because the local weathermen either do not know or seem to forget that certain kinds of weather are very rare in South Texas, but they go ahead and prognosticate against the odds, anyway. We call such weathermen "Yankees."
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FlakMan
Honorary Bluffian


Joined: 11 Aug 2004
Posts: 257
Location: Portland, Texas

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 4:06 pm    Post subject: PINS Weather Bouy 42020. Reply with quote

I like this bouy. i expect it's the one Johnny French uses too:

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42020

When this wave height is high so is the surf at PINS. Right now wave height is 7.5-ft.,
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texmaps
Finger Mullet


Joined: 11 Aug 2004
Posts: 56
Location: Oso Bay

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 4:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I like this one
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/ifps/crp/GFE/default.html
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fred
Pony Mullet


Joined: 11 Aug 2004
Posts: 101
Location: Falfurrias

PostPosted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 5:30 pm    Post subject: weather Reply with quote

I use the information from the bouy (42020) east of Baffin and the windcast for Brownsville put out by intellicast to go offshore from Port Mansfield. It doesn't always work out exactly right, but it is the best I have found. LOL.
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Bluffer
Member Order of The White Shrimper Boots


Joined: 15 Aug 2004
Posts: 780
Location: The Bluff...Anyone wanna buy some fresh shrimp?

PostPosted: Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Anything other than Dead Wrong Dales!
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-A quaint little drinking village with a fishing problem-
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The Trout Scout
Mud Minnow


Joined: 27 Oct 2004
Posts: 23
Location: Rockport

PostPosted: Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Regarding Weather Reports for the Coastal Bend, it's like I tell my clients:

"If you want a 'tourist report' then listen to your local weatherman.

If you want a 'weather report', then go talk to a Mariner."


Wink Cool
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"In its deepest self, fishing is the most solitary sport, for at its best it is all betweeen you and the fish." .....Arnold Gingrich.
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rabbit
Member Order of The White Shrimper Boots


Joined: 11 Aug 2004
Posts: 715
Location: Flour Bluff

PostPosted: Fri Nov 19, 2004 5:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Better yet just go outside and look Laughing
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