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June 4 Houston Chronicle Outlook OpEd

 
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FlakMan
Horse Mullet


Joined: 07 Mar 2006
Posts: 165
Location: Conroe, Texas

PostPosted: Mon Jun 05, 2006 8:41 am    Post subject: June 4 Houston Chronicle Outlook OpEd Reply with quote

Hard to get link to work for Chronicle so I copied and pasted here:

June 4, 2006, 3:01AM
DANGEROUS FANTASY
Some storm plans are Category 5 nonsense
The rest of us shouldn't have to pay for the poor choices of a few

By DAVID HELVARG

Last Thursday marked the beginning of the 2006 hurricane season, one that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts will be "above normal," with four to six major hurricanes expected to form in the Atlantic — storms that could make landfall anywhere from Boston to GalvestonBrownsville.

Everyone agrees that we're into a decades-long cycle of intensified Atlantic hurricanes linked to a periodic 1-degree warming in the North Atlantic. Add an additional degree of ocean warming since 1970 from anthropogenic — human-caused — carbon-dioxide emissions, and you have the makings of a hurricane cycle that may never return to a more tranquil phase. Yet when it comes to the way we live in hurricane territory, we're stuck in the 1970s and 1980s, when a lull in storm activity aided and abetted unprecedented development along the Atlantic seaboard, helping assure that 17 of the 20 fastest-growing counties in the U.S. United States were coastal.

Florida, which was lucky last year in comparison with Louisiana and Mississippi, is still a poster child for hurricane devastation. Flying into Fort Lauderdale, it looks like someone scattered blue Chiclets across the landscape. That's how many blue tarps cover roofs blown away by Hurricane Wilma. At the Broward County courthouse, windows are still covered in plywood eight months after the storm.

What might be called "early greenhouse century" hubris abounds. A woman I met in Key West told me about her retired parents who had to flee their home four times in the last two years. Instead of moving, they're investing in an "evacuation RV" so they can flee the next storm in comfort. And in Miami, the skyline is swarming with construction cranes as developers build high-rise condos as close to the ocean as possible. Congress has approved funding that will allow the Federal Emergency Management Agency to pay off $23 billion in property claims from last year's storms without making any commitment to reforming the flood insurance program.

The levees in New Orleans are being rebuilt to something like pre-Katrina levels of safety, again paid for with federal money. The Bush administration and the Department of Homeland Security have been bragging about the pre-positioning of emergency relief supplies. Yet federal policy-makers continue to ignore the causal factors that transform major storms into human catastrophes, such as the loss of protective wetlands and coastal sprawl.

So far, none of the tens of billions of dollars of hurricane relief funding that have gone into the Gulf region has been earmarked for wetlands restoration. Wetlands in Mississippi and Louisiana have historically acted as effective hurricane buffers. One often-cited Army Corps of Engineers study found that every 2 and 1/2 miles of marshes and trees reduce storm surge by a foot.

But in the 1990s, Biloxi wetlands were replaced by floating casinos and waterfront development. And in Louisiana, Hurricane Katrina destroyed 118 square miles of wetlands and barrier islands on top of the average 30 square miles of wetlands lost every year in recent decades because of dredging and subsidence from Army Corps of Engineers and oil industry operations.

"Even though I'm fairly jaded, I thought we'd have found the courage and the vision to at least begin the process of restoration, but so far nothing has changed," said Mark Davis, executive director of the Coalition to Restore Coastal Louisiana, a private group that has spent a decade pushing a $14-billion plan to bring back the wetlands.

Congress also has failed to show the courage to stand up to the coastal real estate developers lobby, and some coastal homeowners, and implement needed change. Proposals have included limiting federal flood insurance to owner-occupants rather than second-home owners and owners of rental properties, moving to a real market insurance rate (rather than a subsidized one) for high-risk properties and extending areas that require flood insurance to cover a wider zone of potential destruction. With a FEMA study suggesting one in four homes built within 500 feet of the ocean will be destroyed in the next 45 years, a new approach is needed to discourage shoreline and barrier island construction and encourage a planned retreat from along our coasts.

The facts are simple. The best available science tells us that we're faced with a projected sea-level rise and an increase in Category 4 and 5 hurricanes. We need a pragmatic approach to a changed reality. Those who think they can rebuild in harm's way using the same assumptions that worked in the last century, or who believe they can manage nature by stockpiling generators and water bottles, are living a dangerous fantasy. Unfortunately, theirs is a fantasy we're all having to pay for.
_________________________________________________________
Helvarg is president of the Blue Frontier Campaign (bluefront.org) and author of “50 Ways to Save the Ocean” and “Blue Frontier: Dispatches From America’s Ocean Wilderness.” This article originally appeared in the Los Angeles Times.
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The Trash Heap
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 06 Mar 2006
Posts: 1932
Location: Corpus Christi

PostPosted: Mon Jun 05, 2006 10:23 am    Post subject: Thanks for posting Reply with quote

Took the liberty of forwarding your post to the BORG. Good thing it's on his board, because Tyler's ISP couldn't find his address to deliver that forwarded message to him. Laughing
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FlakMan
Horse Mullet


Joined: 07 Mar 2006
Posts: 165
Location: Conroe, Texas

PostPosted: Mon Jun 05, 2006 12:14 pm    Post subject: Knew You could Use It Reply with quote

Saw an interesting talk on CSPAN by a Sr. Professor and his assistant (Dr. Bill Gray and Phil Klotzbach) from Colorado State University.

Dr. Gray gave a very interesting talk. Johnny, you might contact him and get is take on development of our barrier island.

Education
Ph.D., 1964, University of Chicago, Geophysical Sciences
M.S., 1959, University of Chicago, Meteorology
B.S., 1952, George Washington University, Geography

Dr. Gray's web link:
http://www.atmos.colostate.edu/dept/facmembers/gray.php
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