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Don Schwirtlich Guest
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Posted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 8:49 am Post subject: Reliable Local Weather Reports |
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What do you guys use for reliable local weather reports? I am trying to schedule outdoor activities and Dead Wrong Dale and his colleagues have me very frustrated with their forecasting. I don't buy the "weather is affected by a butterfly flapping their wings in Japan" either.
I may buy one of those home weather stations things if nothing else works. Right now, looking out my back window gives me a better forecast than listening to the sources I watch (local channels and The Weather History Channel).
So what do you guys use?  |
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am3 Horse Mullet

Joined: 20 Sep 2004 Posts: 249 Location: Tynan, Texas
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Posted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 9:32 am Post subject: |
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| as far as the weather goes no channel in corpus is worth 2 cents. they are always wrong. i always look at the surf cams on corpusbeach.com thats about the best way to tell the weather. if not noaa.gov has some good reliable forecasts or weather.com. |
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tyler Site Admin

Joined: 09 Aug 2004 Posts: 954 Location: Corpus Christi
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RttlTrap Shark Wrangler

Joined: 10 Aug 2004 Posts: 8
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pinsjeepster Finger Mullet

Joined: 13 Nov 2004 Posts: 52 Location: The Great Northwest(Calallen)
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Guest
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Posted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 4:00 pm Post subject: Check the buoy east of Baffin |
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"Reliable weather forecast" is an oxymoron. Aside from the surf cams, the best real-time indicator seems to be the NWS's web info from that buoy east of Baffin Bay, since the prevailing southeast winds create waves that are measured last at that location before they hit the beach at Big Shell. I like to see a report of 2-foot waves or less out there.
That "butterfly effect" excuse is an allusion to the impossiblity of computing beyond a limited space and time in a chaotic system, which the weather definitely is. In this case, the weather is highly dependent upon initial conditions, even ones as small as the pressure exerted by a butterfly's flapping wing. For anything like even short-term accuracy in such a system, you'd need a huge number of data measuring points, both at the ground and at various levels above it, and, even if you had the computing power to extrapolate from all of it, the farther ahead or away one forecasted from current data, the less reliable that forecast would become. At some point, a local forecast from the TV is no more reliable than an almanac. In fact, the almanac, based on averages, sometimes is a better predicter because the local weathermen either do not know or seem to forget that certain kinds of weather are very rare in South Texas, but they go ahead and prognosticate against the odds, anyway. We call such weathermen "Yankees." |
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FlakMan Honorary Bluffian
Joined: 11 Aug 2004 Posts: 257 Location: Portland, Texas
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Posted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 4:06 pm Post subject: PINS Weather Bouy 42020. |
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I like this bouy. i expect it's the one Johnny French uses too:
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42020
When this wave height is high so is the surf at PINS. Right now wave height is 7.5-ft., _________________ Ahh sand between my toes! |
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texmaps Finger Mullet

Joined: 11 Aug 2004 Posts: 56 Location: Oso Bay
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fred Pony Mullet
Joined: 11 Aug 2004 Posts: 101 Location: Falfurrias
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Posted: Wed Nov 17, 2004 5:30 pm Post subject: weather |
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| I use the information from the bouy (42020) east of Baffin and the windcast for Brownsville put out by intellicast to go offshore from Port Mansfield. It doesn't always work out exactly right, but it is the best I have found. LOL. |
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Bluffer Member Order of The White Shrimper Boots

Joined: 15 Aug 2004 Posts: 780 Location: The Bluff...Anyone wanna buy some fresh shrimp?
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Posted: Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:59 am Post subject: |
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Anything other than Dead Wrong Dales! _________________ Fish hard, fish the Bluff. Surrounded by water!
-A quaint little drinking village with a fishing problem-
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The Trout Scout Mud Minnow
Joined: 27 Oct 2004 Posts: 23 Location: Rockport
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Posted: Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:41 pm Post subject: |
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Regarding Weather Reports for the Coastal Bend, it's like I tell my clients:
"If you want a 'tourist report' then listen to your local weatherman.
If you want a 'weather report', then go talk to a Mariner."
 _________________ Capt. Rex
"In its deepest self, fishing is the most solitary sport, for at its best it is all betweeen you and the fish." .....Arnold Gingrich. |
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rabbit Member Order of The White Shrimper Boots

Joined: 11 Aug 2004 Posts: 715 Location: Flour Bluff
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Posted: Fri Nov 19, 2004 5:22 am Post subject: |
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Better yet just go outside and look  _________________ Fishing and Kayaking its a rough life but somebody has to do it.
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