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10AM Tropical Update

 
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Tyler
Site Admin


Joined: 06 Mar 2006
Posts: 12835

PostPosted: Thu Oct 17, 2019 11:19 am    Post subject: 10AM Tropical Update Reply with quote

10AM Tropical Update from the National Weather Service. Get ready for more Coastal Flood Warnings for the beach by Friday. Surf fishing looks out for the weekend.

The National Hurricane Center has started Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 16. Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for portions of the Northern Gulf Coast.

***This system poses no direct threat to the mid Texas Coast***

Summary of 10 am Information

Location: 22.4 N 95.7 W or 140 mi E of Tampico Mexico
Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 mph
Present Movement: N 8 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb

Forecast:

The tropical disturbance in the western Gulf of Mexico is getting better organized and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today. Thus, the National Hurricane Center has started advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 16. The system was moving toward the north near 8 mph. A turn toward the northeast is expected this afternoon or tonight, and a northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track, the system will approach the northern Gulf
coast Friday and Friday night.

This system poses no direct threat to the mid Texas Coast. However we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the offshore waters of the Mid Texas Coast Today through Friday morning. In addition, north to northeast winds of 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots are expected over the offshore waters Today through Friday morning with seas 4 to 6 feet. Conditions should begin to improve Friday morning.

South Texas Impacts:

Winds: North to Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots possible over the offshore gulf waters along the mid Texas Coast.

Rainfall: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected over gulf waters through Friday Morning.

Tides: Tides will continue 1 to 1.5 feet above normal (1 foot inundation, above ground level) through early next week. Water will reach the dunes during peak high tide.

Rip Currents: There is a low risk for rip currents today. A moderate to high risk for Rip Currents is expected Tonight, Friday and potentially through the weekend.

Next Update:

Around 4:30 PM Today
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bulldog1935
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 07 Feb 2017
Posts: 1061
Location: downtown Bulverde, Texas

PostPosted: Thu Oct 17, 2019 12:28 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thanks, quoted your post on TKF
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ziacatcher
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 22 Dec 2008
Posts: 6129
Location: The Bluff

PostPosted: Thu Oct 17, 2019 1:38 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wish I would have known that before I went out today. Water was chocolate milk. Posted on another thread
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bulldog1935
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 07 Feb 2017
Posts: 1061
Location: downtown Bulverde, Texas

PostPosted: Fri Oct 18, 2019 5:04 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

good news, the storm tracked due E overnight - we won't get any of it except a little spin-off rain on Sun and Mon - and of course we're still getting flood stage high tides.
Quote:
Isolated thunderstorms over the Coastal Bend Sunday. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms over South Texas Sunday night and Monday.

Minor coastal flooding expected during the times of high tide
Friday through Tuesday.
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