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Water To The Dunes OR Hello Mr. Bill

 
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FoldCatOne
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Joined: 16 Sep 2009
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Location: Kerrville

PostPosted: Sat Jun 13, 2015 4:16 pm    Post subject: Water To The Dunes OR Hello Mr. Bill Reply with quote

T.S. may bring more rain to Texas Coast this next week -

"An expansive area of convection has been present all day Saturday near the Yucatan and northwestern Caribbean. It now appears that surface low pressure may be forming over the Yucatan. This area of convection is embedded within an incredibly moisture-rich environment. The main hinderance for development through Sunday will be the fact the low pressure will be over land. But, it will not be over land for long. This low pressure is also embedded within a brisk southeast flow. So, this low pressure will be on the move. It will be out over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico later Sunday or Sunday night. Shear is expected to weaken some, which could allow development. This feature should track quickly northwestward as steering winds are 20 knots or higher. This track would bring the feature towards the Texas coast Monday night or Tuesday. This could be a very bad situation with major flooding, as several days of heavy rain could precede the arrival of the tropical system. Hurricane hunters will be investigating the system Sunday afternoon. There are a couple of tropical waves across the central and eastern Atlantic. But, there is a lot of Saharan dust near these waves, and shear is too high for there to be development. So, the rest of the Atlantic will be quiet for the next few days. By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Dave Samuhel "
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Gary J
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kweber
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Joined: 08 Mar 2006
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 14, 2015 7:16 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

right on time...
June is usually the month for Western Gulf activity.
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joejoe7716
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Joined: 04 Aug 2012
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 14, 2015 7:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/tropical-development-gulf-of-mexico-91-l-heavy-rain
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FoldCatOne
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Joined: 16 Sep 2009
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Location: Kerrville

PostPosted: Sun Jun 14, 2015 9:03 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Latest forecast brings the storm further west and mentions Corpus. It's a fast moving and WET storm. Please get ready, be safe, and good luck!!
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Gary J
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kweber
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 14, 2015 11:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

FCO, where are you finding updates?
NWS and Wunderground have pretty much the same as when I first looked early this AM.
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FoldCatOne
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Location: Kerrville

PostPosted: Sun Jun 14, 2015 2:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Weather.com and Accuweather Premium. I haven't checked any more this afternoon though.

"The disturbance will push northwestwards over Texas by Tuesday, but it is uncertain how much rain Texas and Louisiana might get from the storm. The European model favors a more westward track into South Texas with lower rainfall totals of about 1 - 2" over Texas on Monday and Tuesday, while the GFS model shows more development of 91L and a track more towards the east, with the upper Texas coast and Louisiana coast getting about 3 - 5" of rain. Given the amount of heavy thunderstorm activity 91L has already built over the Western Caribbean," from Weatherunderground

Weather.com has predictions of 8-12 inches of rain in the area between Corpus and Galveston on the video on their site.

We will know much more later this pm and tomorrow am.
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Gary J
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Quick Karl
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PostPosted: Sun Jun 14, 2015 4:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Well, I guess I don't feel so bad about postponing my visit for another week or two... Hope I can get out on a snapper boat least once before the season is over.
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kweber
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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 3:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

looks like the track is gonna go mid-coast...
too bad a lot of that rain cant skip the coast and go into west tx... Sad
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Crash
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Joined: 03 Feb 2012
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PostPosted: Mon Jun 15, 2015 4:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Love this site for updates and all kind of info
http://spaghettimodels.com/
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FoldCatOne
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Location: Kerrville

PostPosted: Tue Jun 16, 2015 9:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

OOOOOOOOOOHHH!!!! Great site - Thanks.
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Gary J
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ironmanstan
Exalted Ruler of Flour Bluff


Joined: 04 Oct 2006
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PostPosted: Tue Jun 16, 2015 10:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mikes weather page been using it for a couple of years good stuff.
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