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Please comment on TPWD Proposals
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grasscutter
Flour Bluffian in training


Joined: 29 Jul 2013
Posts: 435
Location: aransas pass

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 8:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mr. Central Scrutinizer, I cannot take credit for the below answer to the debatable problem you so eloquently presented to the board, but this a response I received from someone where I work.

"Almost a perfect proof. Only problem happens on the line where you divide both sides by (a-b). Since you claimed that a = b, then a - b = 0, and division by zero is not defined. You can not divide by a - b."
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Central Scrutinizer
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 14 Jul 2009
Posts: 3585
Location: Flour Bluff

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 8:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

grasscutter, you are exactly correct. Dividing by 0 is undefined, thus the proof is invalid. It is the classic example of a mathematical fallacy. On the surface, it looks to defy logic, but closer inspection reveals some algebra that looks O.K., but clearly can not happen. Good for you for finding out the answer.

Kinda like the Missing Dollar informal fallacy! Cool
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mesquitecountry
Horse Mullet


Joined: 13 Feb 2015
Posts: 101
Location: Austin/NPI

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Here is a math equation that everyone gets.

If you have a 1000 and add back 500, and subtract 500, you still get a 1000. But if you add 500, then start taking 600, you get to zero pretty quickly.

It's pretty clear the only people posting positively for this are the ones that gain to profit from it.

To be clear I wish there were no limits and everyone self governed themselves, but like everything in life the bad apples spoil the batch.
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

responses in italics below.....

http://www.caee.utexas.edu/prof/maidment/giswr2011/TermPaper/Linn.pdf

If you take the time to read this article and still challenge the presence OR importance of seagrasses in CC Bay then I don't care to discuss it any further because it spells it out pretty well.

its a fine article, and you evidently didn't read it at all....it proves everything I was trying to tell you, and yet you still argue? wow....I don't care to discuss it anymore either, and it's even something you found.....ltorna showed the map of where the samples were taken, and NONE were taken where shrimpers drag their nets (in CC bay proper, and the ICWW_....light attenuation vs. depth (Figure 10).....it also resounds exactly what I was telling you about the predominance of phytoplankton/algae, which is the main source of chlorophyll in the bay (Figure 11).....high numbers of chlorophyll result in low levels of seagrass.....its what I was trying to tell you, what the Armstrong paper says, and what this paper by Ken Dunton says.....you're the only one out there by yourself on that issue, sir....

If your scientific bible is from 1987 it is time to update and I can never once recall a research assignment that asked for or allowed only 1 source much less a 20+ year old one. There is of course great value in using multiple sources instead of basing your ideas on one document.

see comment above; all evidence points to "my idea" being correct....well, except your opinion that I'm wrong, which the scientific evidence proves I'm not...

The Chesapeake Bay article was from a .gov website instead of a wiki like you claim but we can all see your reading is shaky at best. I can see why you tried to discount it after you claimed that seagrass couldn't provide a significant amount of energy conversion for a bay ecosystem and the article stated as high as 70%. I of course understand that phytoplankton is also a major contributor but trying to write off seagrass in this department all together is a huge error. I would probably try to hide it myself if I had made it.[/quote]

MY reading is shaky? no one reading this in their right mind would agree with the body of evidence I"ve put forward, and that you helped prove....and I'm not trying to hide anything....in fact, THANK YOU for finding a source that proves exactly what I was saying....

now, no doubt seagrasses are important, that's not arguable.....my premise this that an overwhelming majority of shrimping does NOT occur in areas with "70% seagrass coverage".....
becky

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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ltorna1 wrote:
If you're going to be against this proposition for some reason, and there have several listed, I don't think 'protecting the seagrass' is the wisest angle.


correct, and thanks....to raise the "it damages seagrass flag" is incorrect....as you'll see in later posts, there really is a point to all this banter....
becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
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Joined: 01 May 2008
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:43 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

lifeaquatic wrote:
I take it the proposal is for only the Spring Open Season (emphasis added). There is also a Fall Open Season and Winter Open Season for commercial bay shrimp, both open to 30 minutes after sunset. The spring season runs May 15 - July 15.

Interesting to note, bait shrimp season is year-round and runs 30 minutes before sunrise to 30 minutes after sunset from Aug 15 - Mar 31. If it is open all year with extended hours already in place for eight months out of the year, why, may I ask, are the bait shops not overflowing with shrimp all the time from these overly greedy, tireless, insatiable shrimpers?


exactly! good question.....I feel this conversation getting back closer to on-track!
becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:44 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Blast-n-Cast wrote:
The claim by Jason Slocom is that shrimpers are currently not meeting the daily bag limits. I would think that in itself would warrent a better look into the reason why. If the shrimp fishery is in decline, what is causing it? Is it a result of over-fishing or is there some other explanation?


by George, now we're getting someplace!!!!
becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:46 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

greenhornet2 wrote:
, I simply responded when a certain poster came across very abrasive for no apparent reason, attacking personal points of view.


I DO apologize for being abrasive, and I had a really good reason to doubt your "data", but in no way did I personally attack you....
becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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Jason Slocum
Flour Bluffian in training


Joined: 22 Mar 2006
Posts: 328

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 10:57 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'll kick the ant bed one more time....

What if all the reduced by-catch (pin-fish, spot, and croaker) from the 70% reduction in shrimpers (shrimp license by-back program) is consuming more shrimp?

Less shrimping = more predators = less shrimp.

As to the seagrass around CCB it cant really exist in areas where sunlight cant reach the bottom on a regular basis. the ICWW, and CC ship channel, and 80% of CCB are too deep for seagrass to live. 90% of the boats that shrimp in CCB draft 6' or more so their boats cant even run shallow enough to pull the nets through seagrass areas.
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 11:28 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

mesquitecountry wrote:
It's pretty clear the only people posting positively for this are the ones that gain to profit from it.


slightly off-based, and you're not reading "between the lines" on my posts....I'm not 100% for or against the proposal, I JUST WANT THE REAL ISSUES TO BE ON THE TABLE....

voting against the proposal of extending the hours because it "damages seagrass" is NOT why anyone should vote against it....the powers that be won't take your comment seriously....it's like you're saying you're against the proposal because of the price of tea in china....or, better,

Bluto: "was it over when the Germans bombed Pearly Harbor? Hell no! "
Otter: [to Boon] Germans?
Boon: Forget it, he's rolling

it reminds me of a picture that was posted on here a while ago about a bunny with a pancake on it's head....THAT was funny stuff....

if you're going to be against a proposal, do your research, talk with others, and make an INFORMED DECISION.....that's all I'm trying to impart....

mesquite, I gain absolutely NOTHING from the proposal....and not arguing for the sake of arguing, just trying to inform folks that we need to really take a look at the pertinent issues and not just throw the first buzzword/phrase at something because you don't understand the ramifications.....
becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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greenhornet2
Flour Bluffian in training


Joined: 25 Jan 2009
Posts: 448

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 11:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

quote]

MY reading is shaky? no one reading this in their right mind would agree with the body of evidence I"ve put forward, and that you helped prove....and I'm not trying to hide anything....in fact, THANK YOU for finding a source that proves exactly what I was saying....

now, no doubt seagrasses are important, that's not arguable.....my premise this that an overwhelming majority of shrimping does NOT occur in areas with "70% seagrass coverage".....
becky
[/quote]

To be clear I never said anything about 70% seagrass coverage, 70% was referencing their portion of the primary productivity in a bay ecosytem. This was obviously misunderstood and it's also a misunderstanding if you think that article contradicts any of my statements.
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 11:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Jason Slocum wrote:
I'll kick the ant bed one more time....

What if all the reduced by-catch (pin-fish, spot, and croaker) from the 70% reduction in shrimpers (shrimp license by-back program) is consuming more shrimp?

Less shrimping = more predators = less shrimp.

As to the seagrass around CCB it cant really exist in areas where sunlight cant reach the bottom on a regular basis. the ICWW, and CC ship channel, and 80% of CCB are too deep for seagrass to live. 90% of the boats that shrimp in CCB draft 6' or more so their boats cant even run shallow enough to pull the nets through seagrass areas.


THANK YOU Jason....it only took 4 pages to get that simple message across....wonder how many pages it would take to get everyone up to speed on the real issues? Shocked

and again, THANK YOU for the counter-point; not everyone is open or willing to look at both sides of the coin and have a Productive debate about the merits or fallacies of the proposal.....that's all I'm asking....
becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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Rebecca of Sunnybrookfarm
Full Grown Flour Bluffian


Joined: 01 May 2008
Posts: 3974

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 11:38 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

greenhornet2 wrote:

To be clear I never said anything about 70% seagrass coverage, 70% was referencing their portion of the primary productivity in a bay ecosytem. This was obviously misunderstood and it's also a misunderstanding if you think that article contradicts any of my statements.


Please just let it go sir.....we're done with the productivity talk about the open bay and non-impacts to seagrasses, let's please move on and discuss the REAL potential impacts of the proposal...

for one, I *think* the 80% increase is some fuzzy math.....can I get smarter people than myself (CS and ltorna) to cipher this out?

The only proposed change to shrimping time is from April 1 - August 14. Our current laws allow "Bait" shrimping from 30 minutes before sunrise to 30 after sunset from August 15 - March 31. April 1- August 14 they can operate from 30 before sunrise to 2pm. Our current laws allow "Bay" shrimping from 30 minutes before sunrise to 2pm on May 15 - July 15, and 30 minutes before sunrise to 30 minutes after sunset August 15 - November 30. 30 mintes after sunset to 30 minutes before sunrise February 1 - April 15.

becky
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Central Scrutinizer wrote:
Thanks for the Memories, Ranger Rick.


ziacatcher wrote:
However I bet if you were fishing naked Ranger Rick would have a problem with that
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lifeaquatic
Member White Shrimper Boot Club


Joined: 17 Dec 2012
Posts: 932

PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Becky,

I think I know what you are after. For Bay the annual increase is basically 1/3 of the delta used for the single season - without counting actual days, and much less of an affect for Bait.

25% increase of limits = 8.3% annual change
80% increase in hours = 26.7% annual change

Did I do that right?
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Blast-n-Cast
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Joined: 03 Dec 2007
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PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 12:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Funny how those for this want to hang on the Sea Grass point. Like I said I don't agree that it doesnt deserve consideration, but take it out of the equation and tell me how increasing the bag limit and increasing the legal hours fixes a declining shrimp fishery.
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